Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1336.718188 1523.591968 1732.457833 1984.174015 2280.577767 2620.051912 3040.487291
2025-08-17 1071.987884 1321.265253 1627.333456 2034.941003 2569.821072 3256.620815 4219.647952
2025-08-24 923.857377 1197.893979 1555.779100 2065.610599 2786.811459 3791.641009 5336.030318
2025-08-31 816.858047 1102.094799 1493.256013 2081.631056 2967.055958 4288.561325 6487.611192
2025-09-07 743.451699 1037.729661 1458.648368 2122.678122 3178.615690 4856.347299 7862.555494
2025-09-14 657.317569 942.424909 1364.095218 2055.316309 3205.153717 5129.557087 8801.257977
2025-09-21 587.709540 862.579435 1281.227191 1991.276062 3221.298647 5379.960094 9746.427797
2025-09-28 527.222943 789.732156 1199.963675 1917.007886 3204.987016 5564.670162 10601.877434
2025-10-05 505.028722 774.198122 1207.364140 1991.250600 3460.099448 6291.562921 12741.063970
2025-10-12 477.730395 747.319724 1192.496729 2023.348539 3640.477500 6905.686213 14805.327064
2025-10-19 450.574362 717.863600 1169.715068 2037.226011 3786.255229 7475.047479 16929.460384
2025-10-26 425.541984 689.584168 1145.796739 2045.258347 3920.314049 8043.845140 19225.325511
2025-11-02 410.301390 677.538760 1150.656516 2111.760705 4192.924995 8995.801971 22910.627095
2025-11-09 394.443718 663.030844 1149.635609 2166.794603 4451.720341 9979.933493 27091.895265
2025-11-16 377.254367 644.456446 1138.849446 2199.824054 4665.947543 10904.163847 31481.682259
2025-11-23 359.769201 623.770303 1121.818547 2217.091417 4845.854343 11782.958699 36120.185188
2025-11-30 346.727987 610.301022 1117.504075 2261.338923 5099.639134 12930.898335 42282.958392
2025-12-07 322.773260 574.020700 1064.120085 2188.731325 5044.706258 13175.391431 45125.089259
2025-12-14 301.288540 541.032597 1014.727564 2119.735255 4988.658462 13406.333992 48047.402295
2025-12-21 280.558304 508.155773 963.004536 2039.759008 4891.412899 13490.235064 50409.697217
2025-12-28 275.851154 506.880882 977.520850 2119.707829 5248.854479 15139.513348 60884.800045
2026-01-04 267.432416 497.437710 973.675856 2154.285833 5484.624338 16453.695255 70670.179466
2026-01-11 257.960874 485.143725 962.539298 2169.237965 5666.074829 17634.133403 80641.450162